Damiana Data
Research / the questions behind the forms

Following the evidence.

Visual stories about uncertainty, markets, and the things a number can tell us. Each piece carries its sources, assumptions, and limits.

How the work is checked ↗Explore the models ↗

Research library

  • Confirmed: measured and verifiedconfirmed
  • Estimated: modelled or assumed, not measuredestimated
  • Missing: not available or not testedmissing
  1. Sep 21, 2026 · Edge against luck · how long to tell How long before you could tell? How long before you could tell a real edge from luck?
  2. Sep 21, 2026 · Returns · the order they arrive in Sequence risk Does the order of your returns change where you end up?
  3. Sep 19, 2026 · Prices against pay · which workers Did pay beat prices? It depends who you are. Did your pay beat prices since 2019?
  4. Sep 18, 2026 · Fed decision · Treasury yields The Fed raised rates. Here's what the bond market did. The Fed raised rates. Did it get pricier for the U.S. to borrow?
  5. Sep 18, 2026 · One price, measured in work How long do you work for a dozen eggs? A dozen eggs costs 2.6× what it did in 1980.
  6. Sep 18, 2026 · GDP revisions · real-time data The economy, then and now The GDP report you heard on the news wasn't the final word.
  7. Sep 18, 2026 · GDP revisions · the long version The economy you lived through The GDP report you heard on the news wasn't the final word.
  8. Sep 17, 2026 · Treasury yields · public data The longest inversion in this data For over 2 years, the U.S. paid more to borrow short than long.

The mark beside each piece is open only as wide as the evidence behind its conclusion.